Новая хронология
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\ \ \ \ \[D hf,jnt j,ce;lftncz djpvj;yjcnm ghbvtytybz vtnjljd \ j,yfhe;tybz
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vjvtynjd bpvtytybq dthjznyjcnys[ \ [fhfrnthbcnbr \ ckexfqys[ \ ghjwtccjd
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lkz \ fyfkbpf \ \ bcnjhbxtcrb[ \ \ ntrcnjd& \ \ Ghbdjlzncz \ \ jcyjdyst \ \ bltb
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hfpdbdftvjuj fdnjhfvb ytgfhfvtnhbxtcrjuj \ gjl[jlf \ r \ cjjndtncnde.obv
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cnfnbcnbxtcrbv pflfxfv& \,
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\^\ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \1-----------------\ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \^\,
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\ \ \ \ \[\2Hfpdbdftvst \ F&N&Ajvtyrj \ vtnjls \ fyfkbpf \ yfhhfnbdys[ \ \ ntrcnjd
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gjpdjkbkb lfnm rjkbxtcndtyyst jndtns yf hzl djghjcjd^ \ ghtlcnfdkz.ob[
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bynthtc lkz bcnjhbrjd& D xfcnyjcnb^ jrfpfkjcm djpvj;ysv vfntvfnbxtcrb
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rjhhtrnyj \ gjcnfdbnm \ cktle.oe. \ bynthtcye. \ bcnjhbxtcre. \ \ ghj,ktve&
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Bpdtcnyj^ \ xnj \ vyjubt \ lhtdybt \ bcnjhbxtcrbt \ bcnjxybrb \ \ (ktnjgbcb^
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[hjybrb b n&l&) cjcnfdktys bp jnltkmys[ \ ahfuvtynjd \ (recrjd) \ hfpyjq
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ghbhjls& Yfghbvth^ 'nb jnltkmyst recrb vjukb ,snm yfgbcfys \ d \ hfpyjt
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dhtvz hfpysvb fdnjhfvb (d hfpys[ cnhfyf[)^ f gjnjve vjuen ceotcndtyyj
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jnkbxfnmcz lheu jn lheuf cdjbv [fhfrnthjv^ zpsrjv b cnbktv bpkj;tybz^
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cntgtym. gjlhj,yjcnb^ \ 'vjwbjyfkmyjq \ jrhfcrjq \ b \ n&l& \ Pfntv \ vjukj
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ckexbnmcz nfr^ xnj \ 'nb \ ahfuvtyns \ ,skb \ j,`tlbytys \ rfrbv-nj \ ,jktt
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gjplybv \ [hjybcnjv \ d \ jlye \ \ rybue& \ \ Gjckt \ \ 'njuj \ \ gthdjyfxfkmyjt
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ghjbc[j;ltybt \ ntrcnjd \ ahfuvtynjd \ \ pf,sdfkjcm^ \ \ b \ \ jyb \ \ yfxbyfkb
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ceotcndjdfnm rfr tlbyfz ktnjgbcm& C \ ntxtybtv \ dhtvtyb \ d \ htpekmnfnt
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vyjujrhfnyjq gthtgbcrb rybu^ gjl dkbzybtv hfpkbxys[ @htlfrnjhjd@ b \ d
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cbke vyjub[ lheub[ \ ghbxby^ \ gthdjyfxfkmyst \ dytiybt \ hfpkbxbz \ vt;le
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jnltkmysvb ahfuvtynfvb gjcntgtyyj cnbhfkbcm&\,
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\ \ \ \ \[Djpybrftn tcntcndtyysq b \ df;ysq \ (ght;lt \ dctuj \ lkz \ bcnjhbrf)
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djghjc$ \ vj;yj \ kb^ \ jgbhfzcm \ yf \ cnfnbcnbxtcrbq \ fyfkbp \ \ hfpkbxys[
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xfcnjnys[ [fhfrnthbcnbr^ dszdbnm \ ctujlyz \ dyenhb \ @tlbyjuj \ ,jkmijuj
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ntrcnf@ 'nb gthdbxyst cjcnfdyst xfcnb^ recrb^ \ n&t& \ vj;yj \ kb \ dyjdm
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@hfphtpfnm@ \ \ \ ,jkmijq \ \ \ ntrcn \ \ \ yf \ \ \ tuj \ \ \ gthdbxyst \ \ \ \ lhtdybt
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ahfuvtyns-gthdjbcnjxybrb?\,
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\ \ \ \ \[F&N&Ajvtyrj \ b \ F&Y&Ibhztd \ dscrfpfkb \ \ ubgjntpe^ \ \ xnj \ \ rf;lsq
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jnltkmysq \ ahfuvtyn \ zdkztncz \ \ cnj[fcnbxtcrb \ \ jlyjhjlysv^ \ \ njxytt^
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ghtlcnfdkztn cj,jq (tckb tuj gthtdtcnb d xbckjde. gjcktljdfntkmyjcnm^
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xnj vs pltcm ghtlgjkfuftv e;t dsgjkytyysv - djghjc \ j \ njv^ \ rfr \ 'nj
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cltkfnm^ j,ce;lftncz d Ghbkj;tybb 2) jnhtpjr cnfwbjyfhyjuj dhtvtyyjuj
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hzlf^ ghbxtv hfpyst ahfuvtyns \ jndtxf.n \ hfpysv \ cnfwbjyfhysv \ hzlfv^
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jnkbxf.obvbcz \ lheu \ jn \ \ lheuf \ \ ntvb \ \ bkb \ \ bysvb \ \ dthjznyjcnysvb
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[fhfrnthbcnbrfvb&\,
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\ \ \ \ \["nf \ ubgjntpf \ jrfpfkfcm \ \ gjktpyjq \ \ ghb \ \ fyfkbpt \ \ rjyrhtnys[
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bcnjhbxtcrb[ \ ntrcnjd \ (cjjndtncnde.obt \ \ htpekmnfns \ \ cjlth;fncz \ \ d
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Ghbkj;tybb 2)& Pltcm ;t vs gjlhj,ytt jcnfyjdbvcz yf bltjkjubb htitybz
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djpybrf.otuj rkfccf cnfnbcnbxtcrb[ pflfx&\,
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\ \ \ \ \["ne j,kfcnm vfntvfnbxtcrjq cnfnbcnbrb vj;yj yfpdfnm nfr$ \ vtnjls
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j,yfhe;tybz bpvtytybq dthjznyjcnys[ \ cdjqcnd \ ckexfqys[ \ ghjwtccjd \ b
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gjktq& \,
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\ \ \ \ \[Htxm bltn j cktle.ob[ lde[ rkfccf[ ghj,ktv& \,
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\ \ \ \ \[Gthdjt& \ Gecnm \ ghtl`zdktyf \ ds,jhrf \ \ (htfkbpfwbz) \ \ ckexfqyjuj
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ghjwtccf (gjkz)& Dczrfz cnfnbcnbxtcrfz j,hf,jnrf 'njq ds,jhrb c wtkm.
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gjcnhjtybz vjltkb^ jwtyrb gfhfvtnhjd b n&g& jcyjdfyf yf ghtlgjkj;tybb
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(jyj kt;bn \ d \ jcyjdt \ vfntvfnbxtcrjq \ cnfnbcnbrb)^ \ xnj \ jwtybdftvsq
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atyjvty d ghjwtcct c,jhf lfyys[ yt bpvtyzkcz& Gj'njve ghtldfhbntkmysv
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'nfgjv k.,jq \ cnfnbcnbxtcrjq \ j,hf,jnrb \ ljk;ty \ ,snm \ 'nfg \ ghjdthrb
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gjlj,yjq jlyjhjlyjcnb& Nfrbv \ j,hfpjv^ \ djghjc \ pltcm \ cnfdbncz \ nfr$
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zdkztncz kb ghtl`zdktyyfz ds,jhrf cnfnbcnbxtcrb jlyjhjlyjq \ d \ cvsckt
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ytbpvtyyjcnb cdjb[ dthjznyjcnys[ [fhfrnthbcnbr? Tckb \ jndtn \ yf \ 'njn
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djghjc \ \ gjkj;bntkty^ \ \ nj \ \ lfktt \ \ cktletn \ \ \ pfybvfnmcz \ \ \ j,sxyjq
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cnfnbcnbxtcrjq j,hf,jnrjq d pfdbcbvjcnb jn nt[ wtktq^ rjnjhst \ cnfdbn
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bccktljdfntkm& \ Tckb \ ;t \ jndtn \ jnhbwfntkty^ \ nj \ djpybrftn \ \ pflfxf
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j,yfhe;tybz \ vjvtynjd \ \ bpvtytybz \ \ dthjznyjcnys[ \ \ [fhfrnthbcnbr \ \ b
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hfp,btybz bc[jlyjq \ ds,jhrb \ yf \ ytcrjkmrj \ cnfnbcnbxtcrb \ jlyjhjlys[
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recrjd&\,
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\ \ \ \ \[Jgbcfyysq \ \ rkfcc \ \ pflfx \ \ gjkexbk \ \ yfpdfybt \ \ htnhjcgtrnbdys[
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(fgjcnthbjhys[) pflfx j @hfpkflrt@ (@hfpkflrf@ - rhfnrbq \ nthvby \ lkz
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k.,juj bpvtytybz dthjznyjcnys[ [fhfrnthbcnbr)& \,
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\ \ \ \ \[Dnjhjq \ rkfcc \ ghj,ktv \ jgbcsdftncz \ cktle.obv \ j,hfpjv& \ \ Gecnm
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byajhvfwbz \ \ j \ \ ckexfqyjv \ \ ghjwtcct \ \ (tuj \ \ bpvthtybt) \ \ gjcnegftn
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gjcktljdfntkmyj \ dj \ dhtvtyb& \ Ljgecnbv^ \ xnj \ d \ ytrjnjhsq \ (pfhfytt
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ytbpdtcnysq) vjvtyn \ ghjbc[jlbn \ bpvtytybt \ rfrjq-kb,j \ dthjznyjcnyjq
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[fhfrnthbcnbrb \ ghjwtccf \ (d \ \ j,otv \ \ ckexft^ \ \ rfrjq-kb,j \ \ aeyrwbb
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hfcghtltktybz)& Cghfibdftncz^ rfr j,yfhe;bnm \ ghjbpjitlitt \ bpvtytybt
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crjhtqibv j,hfpjv gjckt njuj^ rfr jyj djpybrkj (zcyj^ xnj cltkfnm 'nj
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pfhfytt - @ghtlcrfpfnm ,eleott@ - d ghbywbgt ytkmpz)^ yj \ nfr^ \ xnj,s
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ghb 'njv kj;yst cbuyfks nhtdjub \ yt \ ,skb \ ckbirjv \ xfcnsvb \ (xfcnjnf
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nfrb[ cbuyfkjd vj;tn ,snm juhfybxtyf pflfyyjq dtkbxbyjq)& "nf \ pflfxf
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gjkexbkf yfpdfybt pflfxb j crjhtqitv j,yfhe;tybb @hfpkflrb@&\,
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\ \ \ \ \[Gthdst hf,jns d erfpfyyjq j,kfcnb ,skb jge,kbrjdfys tot \ d \ 30-[
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ujlf[ (cv&ccskre d \ \1[262] \ \2yf \ hf,jne \ Im.[fhnf^ \ gjcdzotyye. \ pflfxt
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crjhtqituj j,yfhe;tybz)& Jlyfrj^ cnhjujq ntjhbb \ njulf \ gjcnhjtyj \ yt
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,skj& D 50-[ ujlf[ \ gjzdbkbcm \ hf,jns \ Gtql;f \ \1[263]\2-\1[264]\2^ \ ult \ ,sk
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ghtlkj;ty vtnjl j,yfhe;tybz @hfpkflrb@ rfr d htnhjcgtrnbdyjv^ nfr b d
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crjhtqitv dfhbfynt& \ "njn \ vtnjl^ \ gjkexbdibq \ dgjcktlcndbb \ yfpdfybt
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vtnjlf revekznbdys[ cevv^ b jcyjdfyysq yf gjcktljdfntkmyjv dsxbcktybb
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aeyrwbb ghfdljgjlj,bz^ jrfpfkcz elj,ysv c \ njxrb \ phtybz \ jhufybpfwbb
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hfcxtnjd \ b \ ghfrnbxtcrb \ 'aatrnbdysv& \ Ghbvthyj \ d \ 'nj \ \ ;t \ \ dhtvz
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F&Y&Rjkvjujhjd lfk cnhjue. gjcnfyjdre pflfxb j crjhtqitv \ j,yfhe;tybb
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vjvtynf @hfpkflrb@ lkz dbythjdcrjuj ghjwtccf^ \ cajhvekbhjdfd \ tt \ rfr
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ytrjnjhe. dthjznyjcnye. 'rcnhtvfkmye. \ ghj,ktve& \ "nf \ ghj,ktvf \ ,skf
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htityf F&Y&Ibhztdsv^ rjnjhsq yfitk d erfpfyyjq \ cbnefwbb \ jgnbvfkmysq
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vtnjl j,yfhe;tybz& Bnju \ bccktljdfybzv \ F&Y&Ibhztdf \ d \ 'njq \ j,kfcnb
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gjldtlty d rybut \1[265]\2& \,
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\ \ \ \ \[Bynthtc r ghj,ktvfnbrt pflfx \ j \ @hfpkflrt@ \ cnfk \ djphfcnfnm \ c
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cthtlbys 60-[ ujljd^ xnj \ dspsdfkjcm \ gjnht,yjcnzvb \ ghbkj;tybq& \ Ghb
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'njv \ jcyjdyst \ ecbkbz \ bccktljdfntktq \ yfghfdkzkbcm \ yf \ nj^ \ \ xnj,s
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hfphf,jnfnm \ vtnjls^ \ bcgjkmpe.obt \ \ rfr \ \ vj;yj \ \ vtymit \ \ fghbjhyjq
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byajhvfwbb& Ltkj d njv^ \ xnj \ jgnbvfkmyst \ b \ ,kbprbt \ r \ ybv \ vtnjls
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jcyjdfys yf njxyjv pyfybb aeyrwbq hfcghtltktybz lj \ b \ gjckt \ vjvtynf
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@hfpkflrb@ \ b \ aeyrwbb \ hfcghtltktybz \ vjvtynf \ @hfpkflrb@ \ (tckb \ jy
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ckexfty)& Nfre. \ byajhvfwb. \ nhelyj \ gjkexbnm \ dj \ vyjub[ \ bynthtcys[
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ghfrnbxtcrb[ \ ghbkj;tybz[& \ D \ cdzpb \ c \ 'nbv \ j,cnjzntkmcndjv \ cnfkb
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hfpdbdfnmcz vbybvfrcyst vtnjls (gjpdjkz.obt bp,fdbnmcz jn \ byajhvfwbb
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j \ aeyrwbb \ hfgchtltktybz \ vjvtynf \ @hfpkflrb@) \ b \ ytgfhfvtnhbxtcrbt
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vtnjls^ \ gjpdjkz.obt \ jnrfpfnmcz \ jn \ byajhvfwbb \ \ j \ \ hfcghtltktybz[
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ckexfqyjq \ gjcktljdfntkmyjcnb& \ \ \1t\ = n\ +1 - F (\ ), \2ghbxtv \0\\\1F (\ ) - F (\ )\0\\ > \%e\1> 0, \2ult \0\\\ \\
\- \12 2 1 2
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\2-j,sxyfz \ \1sup-\2yjhvf& \ {jhjij \ bpdtcnyj^ \ xnj \ aeyrwbz \ \ hfcghtltktybz
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rjytxyjvthyjuj ckexfqyjuj dtrnjhf vj;tn ,snm ghb,kb;tyf hfdyjvthyj \ c
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k.,jq njxyjcnm. aeyrwbtq hfcghtltktybz ckexfqyjuj dtrnjhf c \ rjytxysv
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\2xbckjv pyfxtybq& Jnc.lf cktletn^ xnj ghb hfp,btybb \ gkjcrjcnb \ \1R \ \2yf
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ljcnfnjxyj ,jkmijt xbckj \ ytgthtctrf.ob[cz \ j,kfcntq \ \1A\ , \ j=1,...,r\2^
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\- \1t t+2
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\2rjytxysv \ xbckjv \ pyfxtybq& \ Gj'njve^ \ tckb \ ddtcnb \ yjdst \ ckexfqyst
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gjcktljdfntkmyjcnb\,
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(I(A) \ - \ \2bylbrfnjh \ vyj;tcndf \ F)^ \ nj \ [jnz \ ,s \ d \ jlyjq \ bp \ 'nb[
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gjcktljdfntkmyjcntq ghjbc[jlbn \ bpvtytybt \ vfntvfnbxtcrjuj \ j;blfybz&
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Cktljdfntkmyj^ tckb \ ceotcndetn \ fkujhbnv^ \ j,yfhe;bdf.obq \ bpvtytybt
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vfntvfnbxtcrjuj j;blfybz^ nj 'njn ;t fkujhbnv j,yfhe;bn \ b \ bpvtytybt
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aeyrwbb \ hfcghtltktybz& \ Fyfkjubxyj \ vj;yj \ j,yfhe;bnm \ b \ \ bpvtytybt
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ghjbpdjkmyjq \ \ dthjznyjcnyjq \ \ [fhfrnthbcnbrb& \ \ Yfghbvth^ \ \ tckb \ \ d
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gjcktljdfntkmyjcnb vtyztncz rjhhtkzwbjyyfz aeyrwbz^ \ nj \ hfccvfnhbdfz
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yjdst gjcktljdfntkmyjcnb \ \1V\ (\%t\1) \ = \ x\ x\ \ \ , \ \%t\1=\20\1,1,2,..., \ \2vs \ cdtltv
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\- N n k k=n+1 k
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